Logically, the only way to do “true” power rankings is to rank teams according to their winning percentage. Sure there are arguments to that logic on a weekly basis, like ease of opponents and whether or not a team was playing at home or on the road BUT regardless of circumstances, shouldn’t the better team always win?

Last night, we just saw the Pittsburgh Penguins win the NHL Stanley Cup against the “don’t call them a Cinderella story” Nashville Predators. The Predators entered the post season the lowest ranked team. Although, if we used straight up win-loss records (by lumping the stupid loser point category into losses), the Toronto Maple Leafs were actually the lowest ranked team in the playoffs. Regardless of formalities, the better team won.

In the NBA we have the conclusion (hopefully) of the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors trilogy. Sure the Warriors blew a 3-1 series lead last year demeaning the best ever regular season record but this year the .817 win percentage of the Warriors is holding strong in the Finals against the .622 win percentage of the Cavaliers. If/when the Warriors win, should anybody be surprised?

So to test the theory of power rankings and win percentages, here is the current logical MLB power rankings. One note on the logic, first place teams in their respective divisions are automatically slotted 1-6. As you can see there are no records listed just win percentages with any movement from last week noted in brackets. We are going to use these rankings to predict the outcome of 3 beginning of the week series’.

  1. Houston .688
  2. Colorado .631(U1)
  3. Yankees .617 (U1)
  4. Washington .613 (D2)
  5. Minnesota .542
  6. Milwaukee .516
  7. Dodgers .609
  8. Arizona .600
  9. Boston .548
  10. Cleveland .517
  11. Tampa .515 (U3)
  12. Baltimore .508 (D1)
  13. Cubs .500 (D1)
  14. Angels .500 (U2)
  15. Toronto .492
  16. Seattle .484 (U1)
  17. Texas .484 (U3)
  18. Detroit .484 (D5)
  19. St. Louis .475
  20. Cincinnati .468 (U1)
  21. Mets .459 (U3)
  22. Kansas City .452 (U3)
  23. Pittsburgh .444 (D4)
  24. Miami .435 (D1)
  25. Atlanta .435 (D3)
  26. Oakland .429 (U1)
  27. White Sox .426 (D1)
  28. San Francisco .400 (U1)
  29. San Diego .375 (D1)
  30. Philadelphia .375

Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Number 2nd in the league in winning percentage, the Rockies travel to Pittsburgh to face the number 23rd in winning percentage Pirates. Why is this even debated? Clearly the Rockies should win, right?

Simply because the Rockies play in the mile high State they will always be cursed with the moniker “Coors Field Effect” and therefore prognosticators will always suggest that the numbers of any Rockies batters will be inflated due to the thin home air but here’s the catch – the Rockies are 24-11 on the road so far this season.

With Jameson Taillon returning Monday night to face the Rockies, people will be sentimentally swayed to give game one to the Pirates. The final game of the series pits the Rockies German Marquez, who has struggled his past two starts, versus the Pirates Chad Kuhl, his last two starts have been his strongest.

This pitching match-up is a good metaphor for what many people think will happen with these two teams, expecting the Rockies to climb down the standings and the Pirates to climb up the standings. Don’t bet on it here! Follow logic and take the Rockies to win the series.

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Widely predicted to be a 2017 National League playoff match-up, this mid-June series between the defending champion Cubs and playoff hopeful New York Mets paints a different picture. The Cubs are middling along at .500 while the injury bug has taken quite a bite out of the representatives of the Big Apple. The Cubs are a miserable 11-16 on the road while the Mets are an equally miserable 14-19 at home. Follow logic and take the Cubs to win the series.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Indians

This inter-league series has a real possibility of being a World Series preview. The Dodgers sit 2nd in the NL West with a .609 win percentage while the Indians sit 2nd in the AL Central with a .517 win percentage. The Dodgers are only 14-15 on the road which makes choosing the home team tempting, even though the Indians are only 14-15 at home. Follow logic and take the Dodgers to win the series.

 

 

Using Logical Power Rankings To Predict The Outcome Of 3 MLB Series

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